Statistics

I find this statistic super interesting, although it gives miserable 46% chances for a :bigboy: after 2 girls lol! The Odds of Having Another Boy or Girl

I know most of the moms here are on the right side of the Gauss' Curve, proving that statistics is just a statistics.

Now I was thinking: I have 2 girls, but I've had m/c at 11 weeks before DD1. Those babies (twins) had a gender, no matter how probably they were genetically damaged since it ended in m/c. It was an oops pregnancy, so probably girls? :think: Plus I'm designed to create girls.

So statistically I have 52.7% chances for a :bigboy: woo-hoo!!! I pray idiotic tech was wrong at 15 weeks scan :pray:

Yes, and your odds of having a boy actually go up and up over time! I hope and pray the tech was wrong too!!!

i thought that too but finally after 7 girls it was my turn. i think someone on here told me i had a 98% chance of having a boy even though i was convinced it was dd8 for me. she was right! this does seem to be a year for blue though. everyone i know is having a boy. fx you will join us soon!

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Originally Posted by atomic sagebrush

Yes, and your odds of having a boy actually go up and up over time! I hope and pray the tech was wrong too!!!

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Atomic, this is so sweet of you! Thank you! :kiss:

ZB, I like this study better than the Ingender link you posted in your initial post because it looked at a MUCH larger data set. It looked at Danish families from 1960-1994, over 1.4 million kids born to 700,000 families. It was really looking at the fact that the male/female birth ratio has declined as overall family size has declined, but look at Table 2 on page 960 (going by # in the upper left of the page) to see the % male births given the previous births to the family. Even after 3 girls, families were still more likely to have a boy next. And even after 2 girls it was still 50.3% male births for #3 ... after 3 girls, 51.1% of the 4th children were male.
http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/conten...9/957.full.pdf

Really though, studies are just that, a look at what happened to someone else in the past ... who knows what's in store for us in our future. I just like these stats more to show that NO, it isn't 80% that you'll keep having the same gender, no matter what the old lady in the grocery store line says! Whether it is 3 boys or 3 girls or what have you, the odds are always SO CLOSE to 50/50 that you've always got a shot. Just a matter of how many shots you want to take, and how many shots it takes you to hit the target you desire :)

Exactly B, I totally agree! When even people's DOCTORS and geneticists are spreading bullsh-- nonsense like, "your odds of having another child of the same gender only increase over time" which is completely untrue and unsupported by any facts whatsoever, it's nice to have the studies to look at and reassure ourselves that no, it is totally possible to have an opposite even after 3,4,5 of the same gender in a row!

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Originally Posted by begonia

Even after 3 girls, families were still more likely to have a boy next. And even after 2 girls it was still 50.3% male births for #3 ... after 3 girls, 51.1% of the 4th children were male.
http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/conten...9/957.full.pdf

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Oh, I like this one better! :)
And about the shots: I only wanted 3 blue shots lol!

My mom has :biggirl2: :biggirl2: :bigboy:

But since I know the details, it actually looks like this: :biggirl2: (me) , m/c , :biggirl2: ( my sister), m/c, m/c, :bigboy: ( my brother)

My mom is living example of girly life style, actually when I look at it I'm shocked she had my baby bro and not another sis lol!

So I am 47.7% likely to have a girl next.

I like that I am only 3% likely to have 6 girls!!!