Northern, I think you interpreted my post incorrectly. I didn't mean that the first +OPK confirms O. OPK's only confirm an LH surge has started.
Yes you can have multiple fake estrogen surges, and multiple fake LH surges. (Although, fake LH surges are rarer than fake-out estrogen surges). But when looking at OPK's from one 'surge event', if you will, the first OPK is the only one that counts if you're trying to time BD. After the first +OPK some people might have multiple days of +OPK afterwards (I'm not talking about a fadeout and another surge like days or weeks later), and it's confusing because they keep thinking they haven't O'ed. In your case you were having multiple LH surge 'events', as shown by the fadeouts (and negative) OPK's in between. My previous post was only talking about what commonly happens, when someone has like 3 days in a row of many +OPK's and is confused when to BD.
But yes I agree with you that OPK's don't confirm O, they only detect LH. The only way to know for sure O occurred is to wait for 3 days of sustained thermal shift. But of course by the time you see that the egg has come and gone for that cycle.

