I think I followed that, thanks! Can I ask what was making the stats artificially high recently and low in the past?
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They're not artificially high recently. We figured out a couple things we were doing wrong during the early days - mainly the one attempt - and corrected for that. So things that we were tracking back when our results were lower might appear to be lower than they actually are because the lower results from the early days of the site bring them down.
And things that we only just added post-fixing-one-attempt, may ~seem~ to be crazy high compared to other things but that may not be legitimate. If our overall success is 70%, it only takes one or two lucky sways - depending on sample size - to make it look insanely effective when really it's not helping too awfully much.
I'll give a mathy example below.
So when we look at numbers like this, with a fairly small sample size (not to mention that people may have been confused as to what they were even saying...orgasm or not, we aren't certain...but setting that aside to illustrate what I'm saying about the recently added statistics)
31 of 41 is 75%
30 of 41 is 73%
29 of 41 is 71%
28 of 41 is 68%
So if just from sheer chance, 3 sways would have gone the other way, that puts us down in about the overall ballpark of the success of the site. And since this question was recently added, since these results have been only registered during the point in time where our overall results are in the 66-70% range, that handful of lucky sways make it appear sky high. Whereas if we'd been tracking since 2011 our baseline would be lower, and it wouldn't look like anything right now. Like, if you look at "old wives tales" for instance, we know that putting a little dress under the bed doesn't really do anything of course, but it's still sitting at 64% - piggybacking on the success of the site, but still being brought down by the earlier lower results (and with a wayyy higher sample size too.)
My point in all this is that we just have to take these stats with a pretty big grain of salt because they're misleading in lots of different ways. Some people just want to go through and do anything that seems like it gets better than 50-50, but many of these things very likely don't even do anything and aren't worth stressing over. I have a long thread where I talk about the limitations of the stats in mindnumbing detail here: https://www.genderdreaming.com/forum...hts-stats.html
Thank you for taking time to explain :)
Hello! I am wondering, is there a place we can view swayers previous children’s genders (IE: mom of 3 boys sways pink for number 4) and the result of the sway?
we probably should have included this from day one but it didn't occur to us. But yes like BEG says you can always go and look people up to see their signatures, but to be honest I believe that would only serve to undermine your pink sway anyway as it's all very "control freaky" and probably wouldn't shed any light anyway.
We have people on here swaying for their first and people on here swaying for their 6th, and most fall somewhere in between. I think we have a pretty good sample of people with different gender makeups of their kiddos so I think this is quite representative of what the average person can expect regardless of how many boys or girls they've had before.
Stats updated. 10 new sways since last update.