I don't know when you ovulated, all I can say is that I think you DID. We can't pin down O to the day with certainty.
I think I explained this before but bright red blood is likely from the cervix. This isn't for sure and it doesn't mean you didn't ovulate. Because O spotting can take time to find its way out it's often brownish or pink. The reason red bleeding coincides with ovulation is because your cervix is very soft then and can be easily injured, even by everyday things like having bowel movements or checking CM.
I think you guys had a great sway and are in with as good a chance as anyone! No guarantee of course but I"d be happy with it!