BD 3 days before O - any chance?

[jennaesue]

My cycles have not yet returned to normal after finishing extended bfing and getting off the mini pill. Over the weekend, I was sure AF was about to come because I was cramping. On Tuesday, I got a opk that was very close to being +, if not +. On Wednesday morning at about 9:10, I had 3 very distinct, sharp pains on my left lower abdomen, and then when I checked my cervix position, it seemed soft and high (no EWCM though, and I have trouble determining openness - I just started checking my cervix over the past few days) I am betting I ovulated right around then. We bd'ed on Sunday night and then my dh went away on a business trip. Should I count myself in the 2ww? If I did in fact ovulate (once again, not completely sure) is there even any chance of conception having dtd 3 days before? I jumped and dumped, so there probably wasn't even that much stuff hanging around.

[prayforprincess]

There is always a chance.
o-3 is obviously less likely than o-1 and o-2, but still more likely than dtd on o day itself. Because you did j&d then for sure that makes it even less likely.
But -- again totally still possible and there are many women who have gotten pg o-3 with j&d so you are very much still in the game!

[prayforprincess]

I believe the stats are:
o-3, 15% chance
o-2, 28% chance
o-1, 26% chance
oday, 5-8% chance

[jennaesue]

Well, I guess I'm in the 2ww then (maybe, there is always a maybe with me, ugh)! That was unexpected!

[atomic sagebrush]

There's def. a chance but it's in no way a sure thing.

[atomic sagebrush]

I believe the stats are:
o-3, 15% chance
o-2, 28% chance
o-1, 26% chance
oday, 5-8% chance

Just to clarify, this is conceptions that occured on those days, NOT overall odds of pg for the population at large. Remember, even in fully fertile couples doing nothing to sway, odds of conception are only 20% to begin with and then of that group, 15% conceived 3 days before O.