-
January 28th, 2019, 08:29 PM
#271
Originally Posted by
atomic sagebrush
I don't know. I hope when blue (who kindly keeps the stats for us) comes back to update she can clarify, but it may be that the question is, in itself confusing in the results and is not going to be reliable for that reason. That was fairly recently added I believe so it may not be reliable anyway. You see, our results have been quite high the last two years and so things added during that time period may be piggybacking on the recent high results, while things that were added in the past - when our results were lower for a variety of reasons we've now corrected - may actually be artificially lower than they should be, if that make ssense. (and if it doesn't make sense let me know, I'll clarify. stats are confusing)
I think I followed that, thanks! Can I ask what was making the stats artificially high recently and low in the past?
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
-
January 29th, 2019, 02:09 PM
#272
Swaying Advice Coach
They're not artificially high recently. We figured out a couple things we were doing wrong during the early days - mainly the one attempt - and corrected for that. So things that we were tracking back when our results were lower might appear to be lower than they actually are because the lower results from the early days of the site bring them down.
And things that we only just added post-fixing-one-attempt, may ~seem~ to be crazy high compared to other things but that may not be legitimate. If our overall success is 70%, it only takes one or two lucky sways - depending on sample size - to make it look insanely effective when really it's not helping too awfully much.
I'll give a mathy example below.
-
January 29th, 2019, 02:25 PM
#273
Swaying Advice Coach
Originally Posted by
Jessirberger
Orgasm
Total Sways:41
Total Success:31
Total Success %:75.61%
Inverse success %
Does this statistic refer to women NOT orgasming? Or to them ignoring the girl sway recommendation and having orgasms anyway?
So when we look at numbers like this, with a fairly small sample size (not to mention that people may have been confused as to what they were even saying...orgasm or not, we aren't certain...but setting that aside to illustrate what I'm saying about the recently added statistics)
31 of 41 is 75%
30 of 41 is 73%
29 of 41 is 71%
28 of 41 is 68%
So if just from sheer chance, 3 sways would have gone the other way, that puts us down in about the overall ballpark of the success of the site. And since this question was recently added, since these results have been only registered during the point in time where our overall results are in the 66-70% range, that handful of lucky sways make it appear sky high. Whereas if we'd been tracking since 2011 our baseline would be lower, and it wouldn't look like anything right now. Like, if you look at "old wives tales" for instance, we know that putting a little dress under the bed doesn't really do anything of course, but it's still sitting at 64% - piggybacking on the success of the site, but still being brought down by the earlier lower results (and with a wayyy higher sample size too.)
My point in all this is that we just have to take these stats with a pretty big grain of salt because they're misleading in lots of different ways. Some people just want to go through and do anything that seems like it gets better than 50-50, but many of these things very likely don't even do anything and aren't worth stressing over. I have a long thread where I talk about the limitations of the stats in mindnumbing detail here: https://www.genderdreaming.com/forum...hts-stats.html
-
Post Thanks / Like - 0 Thanks, 1 Likes, 0 Dislikes
-
January 30th, 2019, 04:35 PM
#274
Thank you for taking time to explain
-
Post Thanks / Like - 0 Thanks, 1 Likes, 0 Dislikes
-
February 9th, 2019, 08:58 PM
#275
Originally Posted by
atomic sagebrush
So when we look at numbers like this, with a fairly small sample size (not to mention that people may have been confused as to what they were even saying...orgasm or not, we aren't certain...but setting that aside to illustrate what I'm saying about the recently added statistics)
31 of 41 is 75%
30 of 41 is 73%
29 of 41 is 71%
28 of 41 is 68%
So if just from sheer chance, 3 sways would have gone the other way, that puts us down in about the overall ballpark of the success of the site. And since this question was recently added, since these results have been only registered during the point in time where our overall results are in the 66-70% range, that handful of lucky sways make it appear sky high. Whereas if we'd been tracking since 2011 our baseline would be lower, and it wouldn't look like anything right now. Like, if you look at "old wives tales" for instance, we know that putting a little dress under the bed doesn't really do anything of course, but it's still sitting at 64% - piggybacking on the success of the site, but still being brought down by the earlier lower results (and with a wayyy higher sample size too.)
My point in all this is that we just have to take these stats with a pretty big grain of salt because they're misleading in lots of different ways. Some people just want to go through and do anything that seems like it gets better than 50-50, but many of these things very likely don't even do anything and aren't worth stressing over. I have a long thread where I talk about the limitations of the stats in mindnumbing detail here:
https://www.genderdreaming.com/forum...hts-stats.html
Fyi, I just looked at the question form and the stats on orgasm are referring to ppl saying "yes" to having orgasms in their sway.
Sent from my SM-G955U using Tapatalk
-
Post Thanks / Like - 0 Thanks, 1 Likes, 0 Dislikes
-
February 25th, 2019, 03:14 PM
#276
Hello! I am wondering, is there a place we can view swayers previous children’s genders (IE: mom of 3 boys sways pink for number 4) and the result of the sway?
-
February 25th, 2019, 08:07 PM
#277
Originally Posted by
Jessirberger
Orgasm
Total Sways:41
Total Success:31
Total Success %:75.61%
Inverse success %
Does this statistic refer to women NOT orgasming? Or to them ignoring the girl sway recommendation and having orgasms anyway?
The question in the form is Did you have an orgasm for your successful attempt. Answer choices are yes/no. So this stat is reflecting that 75% of those responded had an orgasm for their successful attempt.
Stats are updated. 16 new sways added.
-
Post Thanks / Like - 1 Thanks, 0 Likes, 0 Dislikes
-
February 25th, 2019, 08:07 PM
#278
Originally Posted by
chelsearogene
Hello! I am wondering, is there a place we can view swayers previous children’s genders (IE: mom of 3 boys sways pink for number 4) and the result of the sway?
Only by looking them up & seeing if they have it in their signature or mentioned it on the board in their sway attempt post.
-
Post Thanks / Like - 0 Thanks, 1 Likes, 0 Dislikes
-
February 27th, 2019, 11:46 AM
#279
Swaying Advice Coach
Originally Posted by
chelsearogene
Hello! I am wondering, is there a place we can view swayers previous children’s genders (IE: mom of 3 boys sways pink for number 4) and the result of the sway?
we probably should have included this from day one but it didn't occur to us. But yes like BEG says you can always go and look people up to see their signatures, but to be honest I believe that would only serve to undermine your pink sway anyway as it's all very "control freaky" and probably wouldn't shed any light anyway.
We have people on here swaying for their first and people on here swaying for their 6th, and most fall somewhere in between. I think we have a pretty good sample of people with different gender makeups of their kiddos so I think this is quite representative of what the average person can expect regardless of how many boys or girls they've had before.
-
Post Thanks / Like - 1 Thanks, 0 Likes, 0 Dislikes
-
April 15th, 2019, 09:27 PM
#280
Stats updated. 10 new sways since last update.
-
Post Thanks / Like - 2 Thanks, 0 Likes, 0 Dislikes
So happy for you Treens, congratulations Sent from my SM-A225F using Tapatalk
Healthy baby girl :)